第15回AIM国際ワークショップ
開催概要
- 日付：
- 2010年2月20-22日
- 場所：
- 国立環境研究所 大山記念ホール
- 資料：
- 議事日程（PDF/192KB）
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1日目
2日目
3日目
日程詳細
1日目：2010年2月20日(土)
Informal Meetings
-Lunch Break-
| Opening | |
| 13:00-13:05 | Welcome Address Dr. Y. Yasuoka (NIES, Japan) |
| 13:05-13:20 | Japanese Climate Policy and Expectation to AIM Mr. H. Ono (MOE, Japan) |
| Session Ⅰ:Overall AIM Activities and Perspectives Chairperson Dr. T. Masui |
|
| 13:20-13:35 | AIM activities and the objective
of this workshop (PDF) Dr. M. Kainuma (NIES, Japan) |
| 13:35-13:50 | Impact and adaptation studies and perspectives
of AIM (PDF) Dr. Y. Hijioka (NIES, Japan) |
| 13:50-14:05 | Shiga scenarios and scenario application to
regional climate policies (PDF) Prof. K. Shimada (Ritsumeikan University, Japan) |
| 14:05-14:35 | AIM modeling 2010 -Designing Asian scenarios
towards Low Carbon Societies- (PDF) Prof. Y. Matsuoka (Kyoto University, Japan) |
| 14:35-14:50 | Climate studies in India & expectation from
AIM: Research topics and future collaboration (PDF) Prof. P.R. Shukla (IIM, India) |
| 14:50-15:05 | Modelling Studies in China and Expectation on
AIM (PDF) Prof. X. Hu and Dr. K. Jiang (ERI, China) |
| 15:05-15:20 | Discussion |
-Break-
| Session Ⅱ-1: Asia LCS Scenario Development (1) Chairperson Dr. S. Ashina |
|
| 15:30-15:40 | Asia LCS studies and their
perspective (PDF) Dr. J. Fujino (NIES, Japan) |
| 15:40-15:55 | Designing a road map towards a low-carbon city
in case of Kyoto (PDF) Mr. K. Gomi (Kyoto University, Japan) |
| 15:55-16:10 | Iskandar Development scenario and its policy
implication (PDF) Prof. C.S. Ho (UTM, Malaysia) |
| 16:10-16:25 | Introduction of Indonesia LCS Workshop, the LCS
scenario and future collaborative works (PDF) Dr. R. Boer (IPB, Indonesia) |
| 16:25-16:40 | Guangzhou low carbon society 2030 -a win-win
strategy for global climate change and sustainable development of regional economy (PDF) Prof. D. Zhao and Ms. Y. Lu (GIEC, China) |
| 16:40-16:50 | Discussion |
| Session Ⅱ-1: Asia LCS Scenario Development (2) Chairperson Prof. K. Shimada (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan) |
|
| 16:50-17:05 | Bhopal Scenario:
Expected Outcomes (PDF) Prof. M. Kapshe (School of Planning and Architecture, India) and Prof. A. Deshpande (MANIT, India) |
| 17:05-17:20 | Forecasting the GHG emission and assessment of
potential GHG reduction in Korea (PDF) Dr. S. Yoon (NIER, Korea) Development of CO2 Emission Model at The Site Level and Its Application (PDF) Mr. C. Park (Seoul Univ., Korea) |
| 17:20-17:35 | Introduction of energy scenarios in Thailand
and future plan (PDF) Prof. B. Limmeechokchai (SIIT-TU, Thailand) |
| 17:35-17:50 | Dalian Low-Carbon Society Study: Progress of
Modeling (PDF) Mr. Y. Wang (Dalian Municipal Government Research Center, China) |
| 17:50-18:05 | Brazil LCS Scenarios (PDF) Mr. W. Wills (UFRJ, Brazil) |
| 18:05-18:15 | Discussion |
| Session Ⅱ-2: Impact Assessment 1 Chairperson Dr. Y. Hijioka |
|
| 15:30-15:55 | Introduction of
AIM/Impact[Policy] (PDF) Dr. Y. Hijioka (NIES, Japan) |
| 15:55-16:20 | Application of Satellite Measurements and
Modeling for Air Quality (PDF) Dr. C. Shim (KEI, Korea) |
| 16:20-16:45 | An Integrated Water Quality Assessment Model in
Response to Climate Change and Land-Use Change (PDF) Dr. H. Han (KEI, Korea) |
| 16:45-17:10 | Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Rice
Production in Asia in Comprehensive Consideration of Uncertainties in Future Climate Projections
(PDF) Dr. Y. Masutomi (CESS, Japan) |
| 17:10-17:35 | Assessing the Risk of Heat-stressed Mortality
due to Global Warming Using Multi-GCM Approach (PDF) Dr. H. Jung (NIES, Japan) |
| 17:35-18:15 | Discussion |
-Reception-
2日目：2010年2月21日(日)
| Session Ⅲ: Impact Assessment 2 Chairperson tba |
|
| 09:00-09:25 | Toward AR5: Activities of the
Global Water Resources Model H08 (PDF) Dr. N. Hanasaki (NIES, Japan) |
| 09:25-09:50 | Climate Change Adaptation and Networking
(PDF) Dr. Y. Park (KEI, Korea) |
| 09:50-10:15 | Climate change vulnerability and adaptation studies
of maize production in Jilin, China (PDF) Dr. W. Ye (IGCC, New Zealand) |
| 10:15-10:40 | An Assessment of Potential Impact of Climate
Change on Forest Distribution and Economic Value in Korea (PDF) Mr. J. Kim (SNU, Korea) |
| 10:40-10:55 | Discussion |
-Break-
| Session Ⅳ: Emission Modeling Chairperson Dr. T. Masui |
|
| Country model | |
| 11:05-11:20 | Effects of carbon taxes for
selected CO2 stabilization targets on the Thai energy system (PDF) Prof. R. Shrestha |
| 11:20-11:35 | Economic Impact Assessment of China's
Climate Target towards 2020 (PDF) Mr. H. Dai (NIES, Japan) and Dr. K. Jiang (ERI, China) |
| 11:35-11:50 | Modeling and Analysis -Low Carbon Society
Transition for India (PDF) Prof. P.R. Shukla (IIM, India) |
| 11:50-12:05 | Low-Carbon Ratchaburi (Thailand) 2025 using
ExSS (PDF) Dr. S. Garivait (JGSEE/KMUTT, Thailand) |
| 12:05-12:20 | Discussion |
-Photo session-
-Lunch Break-
| Session Ⅳ: Emission Modeling Chairperson Dr. T. Masui |
|
| Integrated assessment modeling | |
| 13:30-13:50 | Results from the PNNL Global
Change Assessment Model (PDF) Dr. J. Edmonds (JGCRI/PNNL, U.S.A.) |
| 13:50-14:05 | Regional and Spatial Analysis on 3E under a
Constraint on Radiative Forcing: Integrated Assessment Using Economic, Land-use, and Ecosystem
Models (PDF) Dr. K. Matsumoto (NIES, Japan) |
| 14:05-14:20 | Contribution to the Asian Modeling Exercise
(PDF) Dr. A. Okagawa (NIES, Japan) |
| 14:20-14:35 | Co-benefits of LCS policies and air pollution
abatement (PDF) Prof. G. Kurata (Kyoto Univ.) |
| 14:35-14:50 | Estimation of Global Cement Demand
(PDF) Ms. R. Kawase (Kyoto Univ.) |
| 14:50-15:05 | Introduction of New Activities for Global CGE
Model Development (PDF) Dr. S. Fujimori (Kyoto Univ., Japan) |
| 15:05-15:25 | Discussion |
-Break-
| Session ⅤAIM/Enduse[Global] Chairperson Dr. T. Hanaoka |
|
| 15:40-16:00 | Mid-term target in Japan and
contribution of AIM (PDF) Dr. T. Masui (NIES, Japan) |
| 16:00-16:20 | Overview of AIM/Enduse[Global] and analysis on
comparable efforts (PDF) Dr. T. Hanaoka (NIES, Japan) |
| 16:20-16:35 | Global mid-term emission scenario with
special attention to Asian regions (PDF) Dr. O. Akashi (NIES, Japan) |
| 16:35-16:50 | Modeling on service demands: Industry and
Transport (PDF) Dr. O. Akashi (NIES, Japan) |
| 16:50-17:05 | Estimation of residential energy consumption
considering energy service demand and supply structure (PDF) Dr. Y. Kanamori (NIES, Japan) |
| 17:05-17:20 | GHG emissions and mitigation potentials by
agricultural activity (PDF) Ms. T. Hasegawa (Kyoto University, Japan) |
| 17:20-17:40 | Discussion |
-Dinner-
3日目：2010年2月22日(月)
| Session Ⅵ: Asian and global LCS scenario development and
perspectives Chairperson Dr. M. Kainuma |
|
| 09:00-09:10 | Objective of Asia LCS Project
(S-6) and what has been done (PDF) Dr. M. Kainuma (NIES, Japan) |
| 09:10-09:25 | Asia scenario review (PDF) Mr. T. Ehara and Ms. K. Oyamada (MHIR, Japan) |
| 09:25-09:40 | Models developed by Asia LCS project and
scenarios (PDF) Dr. T. Masui (NIES, Japan) |
| 09:40-09:55 | Development of the Backcasting model
-Application to Japan LCS study- (PDF) Dr. S. Ashina (NIES, Japan) |
| 09:55-10:10 | Outcomes from Asia LCS studies and
perspectives: Leapfrog Asia (PDF) Prof. S. Nishioka (IGES, Japan) |
-Break-
| 10:25-11:55 | Panel Discussion 【Summary (PDF)】 Coordinator: Dr. M. Kainuma (NIES, Japan) Rapporteur: Aashish Deshpande (MANIT, India) Panelist: Prof. P.R. Shukla (IIM, India), K. Jiang (ERI, China), Dr. R. Shrestha (Nepal), Prof. R. Boer (IPB, Indonesia), Dr. J. Edmonds (JGCRI/PNNL, U.S.A.), Prof. C.S. Ho (UTM, Malaysia), Dr. T. Jung(ADB, Phillipines) |
| 11:55-12:00 | Concluding Remarks Dr. Y. Sasano (NIES, Japan) |
-Adjorn-
Informal Meetings
