The 22nd AIM International Workshop


December 9 - 11, 2016
At Ohyama Memorial Hall, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 305-8506, Tsukuba, Japan
Agenda (PDF/23KB)


The 22nd AIM International Workshop group photo1 The 22nd AIM International Workshop group photo2

The 22nd AIM International Workshop
Young Researcher Presentation Award

Health and economic impact of ozone pollution in China
Ms. Yang Xie (Tokyo Tech, Japan)
Emission pathways to achieve 2.0 and 1.5 ℃ climate targets
Dr. Xuanming Su (NIES, Japan)


DAY 1: December 9, 2016(Friday)

Session1: Opening Session
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
09:00-09:20 Welcome address and overall activities in FY2015-2016 and future research plan
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
Session2: Implementation of Paris Agreement (1)
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
09:20-09:35 IPCC AR6 Cycle: Status and Milestones (with focus on IPCC WGIII)
Prof. P. R. Shukla (IIM, India)
09:35-09:50 The Climate Consequences of Paris
Dr. Jae Edmonds (PNNL, USA)
09:50-10:10 Implications of the Paris agreement in the context of long, med and short-term policies AIM/CGE related model activity
Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori (NIES, Japan)
10:10-10:25 Discussion

-Coffee Break-

Session3: Roadmap toward low carbon Asia (1)
Chairperson: Mr. Tomoki Ehara (E-konzal, Japan)
10:50-11:05 Roadmap toward Low Carbon Asia: Thailand’s NDCs Roadmap
Prof. Bundit Limmeechokchai (Thammasat University, Thailand)
11:05-11:20 Deep Decarbonizing AFOLU Sector in Indonesia
Prof. Rizaldi Boer (IPB, Indonesia)
Low-carbon energy development in Indonesia in alignment with its INDC by 2030
Prof. Retno Gumilang Dewi,and Prof. Ucok Welo Risma Siagian (ITB, Indonesia)
11:20-11:35 Promoting low carbon by decarbonisation urban development in Malaysia. S2A approach
Prof. Chin Siong Ho (UTM, Malaysia)
11:35-11:50 Low carbon development with INDC targets and carbon tax in selected sectors of Nepal
Prof. Ram Manohar Shrestha (AITM, Nepal)
11:50-12:10 Discussion

-Photo Session-
-Lunch Break-

Session4: Poster Session
The health benefits of developing renewable energy in China towards 2030
Dr. Hancheng Dai (NIES, Japan)
Evaluating energy efficiency in China’s service sector: Current situation and future scenario
Dr. Rui Xing (NIES, Japan)
Emission pathways to achieve 2.0 and 1.5 ℃ climate targets
Dr. Xuanming Su (NIES, Japan)
Evaluation of the reduction of electricity demand in Japan after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake
Dr. Keita Honjo (NIES, Japan)
Socio-economic drivers in SSP2 and future challenges of 1.5 degree target
Dr. Jingyu Liu (NIES, Japan)
How do transport behavior and policy affect mitigation potential and cost? A simulation by AIM/Transport model
Dr. Runsen Zhang (NIES, Japan)
Estimation of the economic cost of heatstroke prevention under various climatic/socioeconomic conditions
Dr. Junya Takakura (NIES, Japan)
An analysis on hypothetical shocks representing cooling water shortage using a commutable general equilibrium model
Dr. Qian Zhou (NIES, Japan)
Estimate of regional impacts of adaptation policies and sand erosion damage by climate change
Dr. Hiroshi Sao (NIES, Japan)
Socio-economic changes of stabilization scenarios considering global temperatures targets in the long term
Dr. Diego Silva (JAMSTEC, Japan)
Estimating the hourly electricity profile of Japanese households for improving the accuracy of integrated assessment model
Dr. Hiroto Shiraki (The University of Shiga Prefecture, Japan)
Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and fisheries in Aomori Prefecture -- First-year results of a research project at Hirosaki University
Dr. Yoshimitsu Masaki and Prof. Yukihiro Nojiri (Hirosaki University, Japan)
Health and economic impact of ozone pollution in China
Ms. Yang Xie (Tokyo Tech, Japan)
Research proposal: An integrated assessment of circular economy policies for energy intensive industries in China
Mr. Gen Li (TokyoTech, Japan)
Impact of mitigation action in Indonesia towards 2030
Ms. Marissa Malahayati (TokyoTech, Japan)
Indonesia NDC Assessment of impacts in climate change mitigation policy
Mr. Bintang Budi Yuwono (ITB, Indonesia)
Introduction to the project “Integrated assessment of economic impacts of climate change” in China
Dr. Biying Yu (BIT, China)

-Coffee Break-

Session5: Roadmap toward low carbon Asia (2)
Chairperson: Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)
14:30-14:45 Moving toward a transition future in China: Integrated assessment on the low carbon future
Prof. Xiulian Hu and Prof. Kejun Jiang (Energy Research Institute, China)
14:45-15:00 Marginal abatement cost of CO2 mitigation options for the residential sector in Korea
Prof. Chan Park (University of Seoul, Korea) and Prof. Tae Yong Jung (Yonsei University, Korea)
15:00-15:15 Realizing the INDC: The role of renewable energies in Vietnam
Dr. Thanh Tu Tran (Vietnam National University, Vietnam)
15:15-15:30 The efforts of Taiwan to achieve INDC target: An investigation on its regional carbon trading system
Dr. Yi-Hua Wu (ITRI, Taiwan)
15:30-15:50 Discussion

-Coffee Break-

Session6: New regional scenario development in Asia
Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan)
16:10-16:25 Low carbon development scenarios in cities of Vietnam -cases of Da Nang and Hai Phong cities
Dr. Tung Lam Nguyen (ISPONRE, Vietnam) and Dr. Thai Hoa Nguyen (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan)
16:25-16:40 Smart city initiative in India: Addressing climate change concerns
Prof. Manmohan Kapshe (Maulana Azad National Institute of Technology, India) and Prof. Aashish Deshpande (National Institute of Technical Teachers' Training and Research, India)
16:40-16:55 Impacts of carbon reduction policy on air pollutant emissions in Guangdong province of China
Prof. Daiqing Zhao and Dr. Peng Wang (GIEC, CAS, China)
16:55-17:10 Integrated space-energy modeling for sustainable development in Fukushima
Dr. Kei Gomi (NIES, Japan)
17:10-17:30 Discussion
Session 7: Implementation of Paris Agreement (2)
Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan)
17:30-17:45 Technology optimism is not enough: Some considerations on the difficulty of triggering low-carbon transition in France (Skype)
Dr. Julien Lefevre (CIRED, France)


DAY 2: December 10, 2016(Saturday)

Session 8: Climate change and SLCP scenarios
Chairperson: Prof. Koji Shimada (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan)
09:00-09:15 Cobenefits and tradeoffs of reducing GHGs, SLPCs, Air Pollutants emissions when exploring the 2 degree target scenarios
Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)
09:15-09:30 SLCP emission from residential sector and its impact in Asia
Prof. Gakuji Kurata (Kyoto University, Japan)
09:30-09:45 Influence of future climate and emissions on air quality in Northeast Asia: Recent and ongoing studies of Korea
Dr. Hyeon-Kook Kim and Dr. Sung-Chul Hong (NIER, Korea)
09:45-10:00 Study on CH4 emission and reduction potential in waste treatment of China
Dr. Zhanyun Ma (CRAES, China)
10:00-10:20 Discussion

-Coffee break-

Session 9: Progress of AIM modeling
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
10:40-10:55 Modelling for low carbon lifestyle in Japan
Dr. Yuko Kanamori (NIES, Japan)
10:55-11:10 Development of multi-layered regional integrated modeling system
Dr. Shuichi Ashina (NIES, Japan)
11:10-11:25 Assessment of long-term low-emission pathways in Japan using AIM/Enduse [Japan]
Dr. Ken Oshiro (MHIR, Japan)
11:25-11:40 Discussion
Session 10: Toward the 2/1.5 degree target
Chairperson: Prof. P. R. Shukla (IIM, India)
11:40-11:50 Introduction
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
1.5 ℃ Long-term Global Goal and Decarbonization of Energy System
Prof. P. R. Shukla (IIM, India)
11:50-12:30 Discussion

-Lunch break-

Session 11: New direction toward sustainable development
Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
13:30-13:40 Introduction
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
13:40-14:25 Discussion

-Coffee break-

Session 12: Impact study (1): Global
Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
14:40-14:45 Introduction to the impact study sessions
Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
14:45-15:00 Research activities in 2016: global food, agriculture and land use
Dr. Tomoko Hasegawa (NIES, Japan)
15:00-15:15 Climate and biomass impacts on global land use
Dr. Ron Sands (USDA, USA)
15:15-15:30 Does linearity hold for climate-change impacts between 2˚C warming and other warming levels?
Dr. Akemi Tanaka (National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Japan)
15:30-15:45 Intercomparison of regulated river discharge among multiple global hydrological models under multiple forcings
Dr. Yoshimitsu Masaki (Hirosaki University, Japan)
15:45-16:05 Discussion

-Coffee break-

Session 13: Impact Study (2): National/Regional
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
16:20-16:35 Climate change impact on Bio-climatic zone in Northeast Asia
Prof. Seongwoo Jeon (Korea University, Korea) and Dr. Huicheul Jung (KEI, Korea)
16:35-16:50 Spatial Optimization based on integrated impact of climate change
Ms. Eunjoo Yoon (SNU, Korea)
16:50-17:05 Adaptation initiative in Indonesia and impact assessment on agriculture
Prof. Yuji Masutomi (Ibaraki University, Japan)
17:05-17:20 Discussion
Session 14: Take a look back on impact studies
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
17:20-17:40 Past, Present and Future of AIM Impact Study
Dr. Hideo Harasawa (NIES, Japan)
Session 15: Closing session
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
17:40-17:50 Closing address
Dr. Mikiko Kainuma (NIES, Japan)


DAY 3: December 11, 2016(Sunday)


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