EMF22
Climate Policy Scenarios for Stabilization and in Transition

Information

Date:
December 12-14, 2006
Place:
At Tsukuba International Congress Center (Epochal), Tsukuba, Japan
Hosted:

the Japanese National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES)

Photo

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Agenda

December 12, 2006 (Tuesday)

Introduction
08:30-09:15 Introduction and Objectives 1 (PDF/17KB)
Mikiko Kainuma, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES)
Introduction and Objectives 2 (PDF/17KB)
John Weyant, Energy Modeling Forum (EMF)
Session 1: Transition Scenarios
Chair: Christoph Böhringer
09:15-10:45 From G8 to L20 (PDF/117KB)
Christoph Böhringer, Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW)
Transitional Climate Policies (PDF/568KB)
Jae Edmonds, Joint Global Change Research institute (JGCRI)
Managing the Transition to Climate Stabilization (PDF/468KB)
Richard Richels, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI)

-Break-

11:15-12:35 Governance and Clean Development (PDF/105KB)
Sugandha Tuladhar, Charles River Associates
Preliminary SGM Results (PDF/125KB)
Allen Fawcett, U.S.E.P.A.
Climate Policy, R&D and the EU-ETS (PDF/357KB)
Truong Truong, DIW (Germany)
GDP Intensity and Sector Based Intensity Targets (PDF/207KB)
Atsushi Kurosawa, Institute of Applied Energy (Japan)

-Lunch-

13:15-14:15 Future Plans for Transition Scenarios (PDF/76KB)
Christoph Böhringer, Ulf Moslener, Tom Rutherford

-Break-

Session2: Transition Scenarios
Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan)
14:45-16:45 The U.S. Climate Change Science Program Model Comparison Project (PDF/381KB)
Leon Clarke, JGCRI
Global Scenario Development in the 'Post Mauritius' World (PDF/495KB)
Richard Moss, United Nations Foundation
Climate Science Community Outlook on New Global Scenarios (PDF/566KB)
Seita Emori, NIES
A Proposal for a New Set of Community Emissions Scenarios (PDF/646KB)
Nebojsa Nakicenovic, IIASA & Technical Univ. of Vienna
16:45-17:30 Discussion

December 13, 2006 (Wednesday)

Session 2 Long Term Scenarios – Regional Sustainability Scenarios
Chair: Mikiko Kainuma
8:30-10:45 Brief Introduction (PDF/130KB)
Junichi Fujino, National Institute of Environmental Studies (Japan)
Long-Term Regional Sustainability Scenarios: Transition Scenarios for India (PDF/558KB)
P.R. Shukla, Indian Institute of Management
Low-Carbon Options in China (PDF/127KB)
Jiang Kejun, Energy Research Institute (China)
Environmental and energy implications of selected scenarios in Thailand (PDF/149KB)
Ram Shresta, Asian Institute of Technology (Thailand)
Modeling in Modeling in Japan "LCS toward 2050 LCS toward 2050" project (PDF/756KB)
Y. Matsuoka, Kyoto University (Japan)

-Break-

11:15-12:15 Lessons From Detailed Country Studies for Global Modeling (PDF/258KB)
Tom Heller, Stanford University
Report on Rio Workshop (PDF/970KB)
Maria Ibarraran, University of the America (Puebla, Mexico)

-Lunch-

13:15-14:30 Open Discussion: What Long Run Scenarios Should We Do?
Session 3: Report From the Uncertainty Sub-group
14:30-15:00 Report From the Uncertainty Sub-group
Session 4: Report From Sub-group on Black and Organic Carbon Emissions
15:00-15:30 2006 Update of the EMF-22 Black Carbon Subgroup (PDF/195KB)
Benjamin DeAngelo and Steven Rose, EPA (US)

-Break-

Session 5: Land Modeling
16:00-16:20 Introduction/Overview (PDF/75KB)
Steven Rose, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency
Part A: Coordinated and new scenarios
16:20-17:45 IMAGE 2.4 (PDF/1,211KB)
Tom Kram, MNP
GRAPE/LIME (PDF/632KB)
Atsushi Kurosawa, Institute of Applied Energy

December 14, 2006 (Thursday)

2006年12月14日(木)

Session 5: Land Modeling
Part A: Coordinated and new scenarios (continued)
08:30-10:00 DIMA-MESSAGE (PDF/4,806KB)
Michael Obersteiner, IIASA
GCOMAP (PDF/699KB)
Jayant Sathaye, LBNL

-Break-

10:30-11:45 FASOMGHG2 (PDF/515KB)
Bruce McCarl, Texas A&M University
Global forest and agriculture model (PDF/409KB)
Brent Sohngen, Ohio State University

-Working Lunch-

12:15-13:00 Coordination synthesis and discussion (PDF/32KB)
  • Review of coordination results
  • Insights for overall EMF-22 scenario development
  • Future subgroup activities: full subgroup coordination, publication, etc.
Part B: Methodological developments
13:00-14:30 Survey of land in CGE modeling (PDF/368KB)
Richard Tol, Economic and Social Research Institute
Modeling long run supply and demand for land in G-Dyn (PDF/761KB)
Tom Hertel, Purdue University
GTAP-AEZ (PDF/369KB)
Steven Rose, USEPA

-Break-

15:00-16:45 SGM (PDF/318KB)
Ron Sands, JGCRI
PHOENIX (PDF/1,022KB)
Keigo Akimoto, Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth, Japan
AIM/land-use (PDF/254KB)
Toshihiko Masui, NIES
Global FASOM (PDF/342KB)
Uwe Schneider, Hamburg University
16:45-17:30 Discussion and concluding remarks

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