EMF22
過渡期における気候安定政策シナリオ
開催概要
- 日付：
- 2006年12月12-14日
- 場所：
- 茨城県つくば市 つくば国際会議場（エポカルつくば）
- 主催：
- 国立環境研究所
写真
日程詳細
2006年12月12日(火)
| Introduction | |
| 08:30-09:15 | Introduction and Objectives 1
(PDF/17KB) Mikiko Kainuma, National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) |
| Introduction and Objectives 2 (PDF/17KB) John Weyant, Energy Modeling Forum (EMF) |
|
| Session 1: Transition Scenarios Chair: Christoph Böhringer |
|
| 09:15-10:45 | From G8 to L20 (PDF/117KB) Christoph Böhringer, Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) |
| Transitional Climate Policies (PDF/568KB) Jae Edmonds, Joint Global Change Research institute (JGCRI) |
|
| Managing the Transition to Climate Stabilization
(PDF/468KB) Richard Richels, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) |
|
-Break-
| 11:15-12:35 | Governance and Clean Development
(PDF/105KB) Sugandha Tuladhar, Charles River Associates |
| Preliminary SGM Results (PDF/125KB) Allen Fawcett, U.S.E.P.A. |
|
| Climate Policy, R&D and the EU-ETS
(PDF/357KB) Truong Truong, DIW (Germany) |
|
| GDP Intensity and Sector Based Intensity Targets
(PDF/207KB) Atsushi Kurosawa, Institute of Applied Energy (Japan) |
-Lunch-
| 13:15-14:15 | Future Plans for Transition Scenarios
(PDF/76KB) Christoph Böhringer, Ulf Moslener, Tom Rutherford |
-Break-
| Session2: Transition Scenarios Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 14:45-16:45 | The U.S. Climate Change Science Program
Model Comparison Project (PDF/381KB) Leon Clarke, JGCRI |
| Global Scenario Development in the 'Post
Mauritius' World (PDF/495KB) Richard Moss, United Nations Foundation |
|
| Climate Science Community Outlook on New Global
Scenarios (PDF/566KB) Seita Emori, NIES |
|
| A Proposal for a New Set of Community Emissions
Scenarios (PDF/646KB) Nebojsa Nakicenovic, IIASA & Technical Univ. of Vienna |
|
| 16:45-17:30 | Discussion |
2006年12月13日(水)
| Session 2 Long Term Scenarios – Regional Sustainability
Scenarios Chair: Mikiko Kainuma |
|
| 8:30-10:45 | Brief Introduction (PDF/130KB) Junichi Fujino, National Institute of Environmental Studies (Japan) |
| Long-Term Regional Sustainability Scenarios:
Transition Scenarios for India (PDF/558KB) P.R. Shukla, Indian Institute of Management |
|
| Low-Carbon Options in China (PDF/127KB) Jiang Kejun, Energy Research Institute (China) |
|
| Environmental and energy implications of selected
scenarios in Thailand (PDF/149KB) Ram Shresta, Asian Institute of Technology (Thailand) |
|
| Modeling in Modeling in Japan "LCS toward 2050
LCS toward 2050" project (PDF/756KB) Y. Matsuoka, Kyoto University (Japan) |
|
-Break-
| 11:15-12:15 | Lessons From Detailed Country Studies for
Global Modeling (PDF/258KB) Tom Heller, Stanford University |
| Report on Rio Workshop (PDF/970KB) Maria Ibarraran, University of the America (Puebla, Mexico) |
-Lunch-
| 13:15-14:30 | Open Discussion: What Long Run Scenarios Should We Do? |
| Session 3: Report From the Uncertainty Sub-group | |
| 14:30-15:00 | Report From the Uncertainty Sub-group |
| Session 4: Report From Sub-group on Black and Organic Carbon Emissions | |
| 15:00-15:30 | 2006 Update of the EMF-22 Black
Carbon Subgroup (PDF/195KB) Benjamin DeAngelo and Steven Rose, EPA (US) |
-Break-
| Session 5: Land Modeling | |
| 16:00-16:20 | Introduction/Overview
(PDF/75KB) Steven Rose, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency |
| Part A: Coordinated and new scenarios | |
| 16:20-17:45 | IMAGE 2.4 (PDF/1,211KB) Tom Kram, MNP |
| GRAPE/LIME (PDF/632KB) Atsushi Kurosawa, Institute of Applied Energy |
|
2006年12月14日(木)
| Session 5: Land Modeling | |
| Part A: Coordinated and new scenarios (continued) | |
| 08:30-10:00 | DIMA-MESSAGE (PDF/4,806KB) Michael Obersteiner, IIASA |
| GCOMAP (PDF/699KB) Jayant Sathaye, LBNL |
|
-Break-
| 10:30-11:45 | FASOMGHG2 (PDF/515KB) Bruce McCarl, Texas A&M University |
| Global forest and agriculture model
(PDF/409KB) Brent Sohngen, Ohio State University |
-Working Lunch-
| 12:15-13:00 | Coordination synthesis and discussion
(PDF/32KB)
|
| Part B: Methodological developments | |
| 13:00-14:30 | Survey of land in CGE modeling (PDF/368KB) Richard Tol, Economic and Social Research Institute |
| Modeling long run supply and demand for land in G-Dyn
(PDF/761KB) Tom Hertel, Purdue University |
|
| GTAP-AEZ (PDF/369KB) Steven Rose, USEPA |
|
-Break-
| 15:00-16:45 | SGM (PDF/318KB) Ron Sands, JGCRI |
| PHOENIX (PDF/1,022KB) Keigo Akimoto, Research Institute of Innovative Technology for the Earth, Japan |
|
| AIM/land-use (PDF/254KB) Toshihiko Masui, NIES |
|
| Global FASOM (PDF/342KB) Uwe Schneider, Hamburg University |
|
| 16:45-17:30 | Discussion and concluding remarks |
