The 15th AIM International Workshop


February 20 - 22, 2010
At Ohyama Memorial Hall, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 305-8506, Tsukuba, Japan
Agenda (PDF/192KB)


The 15th AIM International Workshop group photo1 The 15th AIM International Workshop group photo2

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First day: February 20, 2010(Satueday)

Informal Meetings

-Lunch Break-

13:00-13:05 Welcome Address
Dr. Y. Yasuoka (NIES, Japan)
13:05-13:20 Japanese Climate Policy and Expectation to AIM
Mr. H. Ono (MOE, Japan)
Session Ⅰ:Overall AIM Activities and Perspectives
Chairperson Dr. T. Masui
13:20-13:35 AIM activities and the objective of this workshop (PDF)
Dr. M. Kainuma (NIES, Japan)
13:35-13:50 Impact and adaptation studies and perspectives of AIM (PDF)
Dr. Y. Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
13:50-14:05 Shiga scenarios and scenario application to regional climate policies (PDF)
Prof. K. Shimada (Ritsumeikan University, Japan)
14:05-14:35 AIM modeling 2010 -Designing Asian scenarios towards Low Carbon Societies- (PDF)
Prof. Y. Matsuoka (Kyoto University, Japan)
14:35-14:50 Climate studies in India & expectation from AIM: Research topics and future collaboration (PDF)
Prof. P.R. Shukla (IIM, India)
14:50-15:05 Modelling Studies in China and Expectation on AIM (PDF)
Prof. X. Hu and Dr. K. Jiang (ERI, China)
15:05-15:20 Discussion


Session Ⅱ-1: Asia LCS Scenario Development (1)
Chairperson Dr. S. Ashina
15:30-15:40 Asia LCS studies and their perspective (PDF)
Dr. J. Fujino (NIES, Japan)
15:40-15:55 Designing a road map towards a low-carbon city in case of Kyoto (PDF)
Mr. K. Gomi (Kyoto University, Japan)
15:55-16:10 Iskandar Development scenario and its policy implication (PDF)
Prof. C.S. Ho (UTM, Malaysia)
16:10-16:25 Introduction of Indonesia LCS Workshop, the LCS scenario and future collaborative works (PDF)
Dr. R. Boer (IPB, Indonesia)
16:25-16:40 Guangzhou low carbon society 2030 -a win-win strategy for global climate change and sustainable development of regional economy (PDF)
Prof. D. Zhao and Ms. Y. Lu (GIEC, China)
16:40-16:50 Discussion
Session Ⅱ-1: Asia LCS Scenario Development (2)
Chairperson Prof. K. Shimada (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan)
16:50-17:05 Bhopal Scenario: Expected Outcomes (PDF)
Prof. M. Kapshe (School of Planning and Architecture, India) and Prof. A. Deshpande (MANIT, India)
17:05-17:20 Forecasting the GHG emission and assessment of potential GHG reduction in Korea (PDF)
Dr. S. Yoon (NIER, Korea)
Development of CO2 Emission Model at The Site Level and Its Application (PDF)
Mr. C. Park (Seoul Univ., Korea)
17:20-17:35 Introduction of energy scenarios in Thailand and future plan (PDF)
Prof. B. Limmeechokchai (SIIT-TU, Thailand)
17:35-17:50 Dalian Low-Carbon Society Study: Progress of Modeling (PDF)
Mr. Y. Wang (Dalian Municipal Government Research Center, China)
17:50-18:05 Brazil LCS Scenarios (PDF)
Mr. W. Wills (UFRJ, Brazil)
18:05-18:15 Discussion
Session Ⅱ-2: Impact Assessment 1
Chairperson Dr. Y. Hijioka
15:30-15:55 Introduction of AIM/Impact[Policy] (PDF)
Dr. Y. Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
15:55-16:20 Application of Satellite Measurements and Modeling for Air Quality (PDF)
Dr. C. Shim (KEI, Korea)
16:20-16:45 An Integrated Water Quality Assessment Model in Response to Climate Change and Land-Use Change (PDF)
Dr. H. Han (KEI, Korea)
16:45-17:10 Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Rice Production in Asia in Comprehensive Consideration of Uncertainties in Future Climate Projections (PDF)
Dr. Y. Masutomi (CESS, Japan)
17:10-17:35 Assessing the Risk of Heat-stressed Mortality due to Global Warming Using Multi-GCM Approach (PDF)
Dr. H. Jung (NIES, Japan)
17:35-18:15 Discussion


Second day: February 21, 2010(Sunday)

Session Ⅲ: Impact Assessment 2
Chairperson tba
09:00-09:25 Toward AR5: Activities of the Global Water Resources Model H08 (PDF)
Dr. N. Hanasaki (NIES, Japan)
09:25-09:50 Climate Change Adaptation and Networking (PDF)
Dr. Y. Park (KEI, Korea)
09:50-10:15 Climate change vulnerability and adaptation studies of maize production in Jilin, China (PDF)
Dr. W. Ye (IGCC, New Zealand)
10:15-10:40 An Assessment of Potential Impact of Climate Change on Forest Distribution and Economic Value in Korea (PDF)
Mr. J. Kim (SNU, Korea)
10:40-10:55 Discussion


Session Ⅳ: Emission Modeling
Chairperson Dr. T. Masui
Country model
11:05-11:20 Effects of carbon taxes for selected CO2 stabilization targets on the Thai energy system (PDF)
Prof. R. Shrestha
11:20-11:35 Economic Impact Assessment of China's Climate Target towards 2020 (PDF)
Mr. H. Dai (NIES, Japan) and Dr. K. Jiang (ERI, China)
11:35-11:50 Modeling and Analysis -Low Carbon Society Transition for India (PDF)
Prof. P.R. Shukla (IIM, India)
11:50-12:05 Low-Carbon Ratchaburi (Thailand) 2025 using ExSS (PDF)
Dr. S. Garivait (JGSEE/KMUTT, Thailand)
12:05-12:20 Discussion

-Photo session-
-Lunch Break-

Session Ⅳ: Emission Modeling
Chairperson Dr. T. Masui
Integrated assessment modeling
13:30-13:50 Results from the PNNL Global Change Assessment Model (PDF)
Dr. J. Edmonds (JGCRI/PNNL, U.S.A.)
13:50-14:05 Regional and Spatial Analysis on 3E under a Constraint on Radiative Forcing: Integrated Assessment Using Economic, Land-use, and Ecosystem Models (PDF)
Dr. K. Matsumoto (NIES, Japan)
14:05-14:20 Contribution to the Asian Modeling Exercise (PDF)
Dr. A. Okagawa (NIES, Japan)
14:20-14:35 Co-benefits of LCS policies and air pollution abatement (PDF)
Prof. G. Kurata (Kyoto Univ.)
14:35-14:50 Estimation of Global Cement Demand (PDF)
Ms. R. Kawase (Kyoto Univ.)
14:50-15:05 Introduction of New Activities for Global CGE Model Development (PDF)
Dr. S. Fujimori (Kyoto Univ., Japan)
15:05-15:25 Discussion


Session ⅤAIM/Enduse[Global]
Chairperson Dr. T. Hanaoka
15:40-16:00 Mid-term target in Japan and contribution of AIM (PDF)
Dr. T. Masui (NIES, Japan)
16:00-16:20 Overview of AIM/Enduse[Global] and analysis on comparable efforts (PDF)
Dr. T. Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)
16:20-16:35 Global mid-term emission scenario with special attention to Asian regions (PDF)
Dr. O. Akashi (NIES, Japan)
16:35-16:50 Modeling on service demands: Industry and Transport (PDF)
Dr. O. Akashi (NIES, Japan)
16:50-17:05 Estimation of residential energy consumption considering energy service demand and supply structure (PDF)
Dr. Y. Kanamori (NIES, Japan)
17:05-17:20 GHG emissions and mitigation potentials by agricultural activity (PDF)
Ms. T. Hasegawa (Kyoto University, Japan)
17:20-17:40 Discussion


Third day: February 22, 2010(Monday)

Session Ⅵ: Asian and global LCS scenario development and perspectives
Chairperson Dr. M. Kainuma
09:00-09:10 Objective of Asia LCS Project (S-6) and what has been done (PDF)
Dr. M. Kainuma (NIES, Japan)
09:10-09:25 Asia scenario review (PDF)
Mr. T. Ehara and Ms. K. Oyamada (MHIR, Japan)
09:25-09:40 Models developed by Asia LCS project and scenarios (PDF)
Dr. T. Masui (NIES, Japan)
09:40-09:55 Development of the Backcasting model -Application to Japan LCS study- (PDF)
Dr. S. Ashina (NIES, Japan)
09:55-10:10 Outcomes from Asia LCS studies and perspectives: Leapfrog Asia (PDF)
Prof. S. Nishioka (IGES, Japan)


10:25-11:55 Panel Discussion 【Summary (PDF)】
Coordinator: Dr. M. Kainuma (NIES, Japan)
Rapporteur: Aashish Deshpande (MANIT, India)
Panelist: Prof. P.R. Shukla (IIM, India), K. Jiang (ERI, China), Dr. R. Shrestha (Nepal), Prof. R. Boer (IPB, Indonesia), Dr. J. Edmonds (JGCRI/PNNL, U.S.A.), Prof. C.S. Ho (UTM, Malaysia), Dr. T. Jung(ADB, Phillipines)
11:55-12:00 Concluding Remarks
Dr. Y. Sasano (NIES, Japan)


Informal Meetings

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