GHG安定シナリオワークショップ
開催概要
- 日付：
- 2004年1月22-23日
- 場所：
- 国立環境研究所 大山記念ホール
- 共催：
- 国立環境研究所
- スタンフォード・エネルギー・モデリング・フォーラム
写真
日程詳細
1日目：2004年1月22日
| Opening | |
| 08:30-09:30 | Welcome Address Dr. S. Nishioka, NIES Yasuo Takahashi, Ministry of the Environment |
| Introduction and Objectives (PDF) Mikiko Kainuma, NIES |
|
| Key Issues in the Design of Stabilization Scenarios
(PDF) John Weyant, EMF |
|
| Session Ⅰ: Integrated Assessment / Climate Economic
Modelers Chair: Mikiko Kainuma |
|
| 09:30-10:30 | Overview of the AIM Model
(PDF) Yuzuru Matsuoka, Kyoto University |
| AIM Multigas Model (PDF) Junichi Fujino, NIES |
|
-Break-
| Chair: Francisco de la Chesnaye | |
| 10:45-12:15 | Technology and Stabilization
(PDF) Jae Edmonds, PNL/JGCRI |
| Ongoing work (IMAGE 2.2) on stabilisation
scenarios (PDF) Detlef van Vuuren, RIVM |
|
| Stabilization Scenarios and Implications for
India (PDF) P.R. Shukla, IIMAHD |
|
-Lunch-
| Chair: Yuzuru Matsuoka | |
| 13:15-15:15 | MARIA with learning effects and a
development of multi-region and multi-sector IAM - Project Phoenix (PDF) Shunsuke Mori, TUS and RITE |
| How to model the future scenario for China with a
Dynamic Economy (PDF) Jiang Kejung, ERI |
|
| Stabilizing Long-Term Temperature; The Issues
of Uncertainty, Timing, Costs, and Technology (PDF) Richard Richels, EPRI |
|
| Climate Target - Multigasand CO2 Sequestration
- (PDF) Atsushi Kurosawa, IAE |
|
-Break-
| Chair: John Weyant | |
| 15:45- | Addressing Non-CO2 Gases in GHG
Scenarios (PDF) Francisco de la Chesnaye, USEPA |
| Alternative pathways toward stabilization
(PDF) Nebojsa Nakicenovic, IIASA |
|
| Session Ⅰ Open Discussion | |
-Reception-
2日目：2004年1月23日
| Session Ⅱ: Climate Modeling Chair: Tom Kram |
|
| 08:30-10:30 | Climate Modeling for Global Warming
Projection at the Meteorological Research Institute (PDF) Akira Noda, MRI |
| ENSEMBLES - a European project for climate
change modeling (PDF) Ulrich Cubasch, ZEDAT |
|
| Climate Sensitivity: Uncertainties &
Learning (PDF) Michael Schlesinger, Univ of Illinois |
|
| Issues in atmospheric stabilization considering
multiple gases (PDF) Chris Forest, MIT |
|
-Break-
| Chair: Jae Edmonds | |
| 11:00-13:00 | The effect of carbon-cycle climate
feedbacks on the emissions requirements for CO2 concentration stabilization (PDF) Tom Wigley, UCAR |
| Climate change experiments with a
high-resolution climate model – current status and future plans (PDF) Toru Nozawa, CCSR/NIES |
|
| No title (PDF) Haroon Kheshgi, EMREC |
|
| Session Ⅱ Open Discussion | |
-Lunch Break-
| Chair: Hideo Harasawa | |
| 14:00-14:20 | Remarks on GHG Stabilization Toshiro Kojima, Ministry of the Environment |
| Session Ⅲ: Impacts Modeling | |
| 14:20-15:00 | Impact assessment with AIM model
(PDF) Kiyoshi Takahashi, NIES |
| Climate impacts: ongoing work with IMAGE 2.2
(PDF) Tom Kram, RIVM |
|
-Break-
| Chair: Hideo Harasawa | |
| 15:30-16:30 | Synthesizing GHG Stabilization with
impacts and adaptation (PDF) Gary Yohe, Wesleyan University |
| Grappling with atmospheric concentration pathways
for CO2using GTEMLR (PDF) Hom Pant, ABARE |
|
| Session Ⅲ Open Discussion | |
| Workshop Wrap-up Discussion Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 16:30-17:30 | EMF Experience and New Climate Stabilization Study John Weyant, EMF |
| 17:30- | Workshop Conclusion |
