The 21st AIM International Workshop


November 13 - 15, 2015
At Ohyama Memorial Hall, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 305-8506, Tsukuba, Japan
Agenda (PDF/36KB)


The 21st AIM International Workshop group photo

The 21st AIM International Workshop
Young Researcher Poster Session Award

Ms. Yang Xie (NIES, Japan)
Economic impacts from PM2.5 pollution-related health effects in China: A provincial-level analysis (PDF)
Mr. Bintang Budi Yuwono (ITB, Indonesia)
CGE model for Indonesia INDC and low carbon development scenarios


DAY 1: November 13, 2015(Friday)

Session1: Opening Session
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
09:00-09:10 Welcome address
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
09:10-09:30 Overall activity in FY2014-2015 and future research plan (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
Session2: Impact and Adaptation Studies (1)
Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
09:30-09:40 Introduction to the session and recent activities of AIM/Impact [Japan] (PDF)
Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
09:40-09:55 Climate Change Impact Assessment Considering Uncertainties and Integrated Modeling: Recent Research Progress in Republic of Korea (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Prof. Dong Kun Lee and Mr. Sun Yong Sung (SNU, Korea) and Dr. Hui Chul Jung (KEI, Korea)
09:55-10:10 Predicting distributions of coniferous forest and Japanese pine sawyer beetle (Monochamus alternatus Hope) to support climate change adaptation policy (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Jaeuk Kim (KEI, Korea)

-Coffee Break-

Session3: Impact and Adaptation Studies (2)
Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
10:25-10:40 High instability of Wheat Production on global food markets in the 2000s (PDF)
Prof. Yuji Masutomi (Ibaraki Univ., Japan)
10:40-10:55 Adaptation pathways to maintain global wheat production through the 21st century (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Akemi Tanaka (NIES, Japan)
10:55-11:10 ICA-RUS's risk management strategies (PDF)
Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
11:10-11:25 Impact/adaptation research activities in Japan (PDF)
Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
11:25-11:40 Discussion

-Lunch Break-

Session4: Poster Session
13:00-13:20 Welcome Address by Prof. Akimasa Sumi, President of NIES
Thailand’s emission reduction potential under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway by AIM/CGE
Mr. Puttipong Chunark and Mr. Piti Pita (SIIT, Thailand)
CGE model for Indonesia INDC and low carbon development scenarios
Mr. Bintang Budi Yuwono (ITB, Indonesia)
Indonesia INDC modeling using AIM/Enduse model
Mr. Iwan Hendrawan (ITB, Indonesia)
Impact development of renewable energy to GHG reduction, agriculture, production change mitigation in Indonesia
Dr. Lukytawati Anggraeni (IPB, Indonesia)
Evaluation of China’s INDC Target: An Application of AIM/CGE Model
Dr. YihuaWu (ITRI, Taian)
The Evaluation of Power Supply Change in Taiwan
Dr. Yihua Wu (ITRI, Taian)
Economic consequences of climate-induces changes in the energy demand for heating and cooling (PDF)
Dr. Chan Park (KRIHS, Korea), Dr. Tomoko Hasegawa, Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori, Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi, Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka and Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
Identifying the Candidate Protected Area for Adapting to Climate Change 【Summary (PDF)】
Mr. Yongwon Mo, Prof. Dong Kun Lee (SNU, Korea), Dr. Chan Park (KRIHS, Korea), Dr. Sung-Ho Kil (Texas A&M, USA), Mr. Sunyong Sung and Mr. Jin Han Park (SNU, Korea)
Evaluating Landslide Hazard Areas Considering Uncertainty of Spatial Distribution Models 【Summary (PDF)】
Mr. Ho Gul Kim, Prof. Dong Kun Lee (SNU, Korea), Dr. Chan Park (KRIHS, Korea), Ms. Yoonjung Ahn (KEI, Korea), Dr. Sung-Ho Kil (Texas A&M, USA), Mr. Sunyong Sung. Mr. Jin Han Park. Yongwon Mo (SNU, Korea)
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Industry Sector 【Summary (PDF)】
Ms. Eun Joo Yoon, Ms. Ji Eun Ryu, Ms. Mi Jin Lee, Mr. Ho Gul Kim, Mr. Jin Han Park and Prof. Dong Kun Lee (SNU, Korea)
GHG and air pollution emissions in Korea, 2010-2100 - Focused on Industrial Sector 【Summary (PDF)】
Mr. Jin Han Park, Ms. Mi Jin Lee, Prof. Dong Kun Lee and Mr. Yongwon Mo (SNU, Korea)
Achieving carbon emission peak by 2030: the key options and economic impacts 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Hancheng Dai (NIES, Japan)
Energy service demand projections and CO2 mitigation potentials in rural households in 31 Chinese provinces
Dr. Rui Xing (NIES, Japan)
Bridging greenhouse gas emissions and renewable energy deployment target: comparative assessment of China and India
Dr. Shivika Mittal (NIES, Japan)
Low carbon scenarios for cities in Vietnam -A case of Ho Chi Minh City【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Tran Thanh Tu (NIES, Japan)
Is INDC justified from the perspective of generation equity? Comparative assessment with RCP2.6
Dr. Jingyu Liu (NIES, Japan)
Analysis of optimal locations for power stations and their impact on industrial symbiosis planning under transition toward low-carbon power sector in Japan【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Hiroto Shiraki (NIES, Japan)
Uncertainty in long-term forecasting: State space modeling of crude steel production in Japan 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Keita Honjo (NIES, Japan)
Economic impacts from PM2.5 pollution-related health effects in China: A provincial-level analysis (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Ms. Yang Xie (NIES, Japan)
Toward the development of a flood forecasting system for cooperation of flood fighting activities
Prof. Takahiro Yamamoto (Nagaoka National College of Technology, Japan)
Comparative Assessment of Climate Change and Mitigation on Hydropower: Model-Based Analysis
Dr. Qian Zhou, Dr. Naota Hanasaki, Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori, Dr. Yoshimitsu Masaki and Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
Impacts of climate change on global irrigation water requirement and its sources 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Yoshimitsu Masaki, Dr. Naota Hanasaki, Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi and Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
Papers published in 2015 (including in press)
Dr. Naota Hanasaki (NIES, Japan)
The gap between INDC proposals and optimal climate policy: economic impacts and climate change consequences 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Xuanming Su (NIES, Japan)
Assessment of linearity of climate-change impacts to global mean temperature 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Akemi Tanaka (NIES, Japan)

-Coffee Break-

Session5: JCM (1)
Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan)
14:30-14:45 Overall activity of JCM (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Mr. Go Hibino and Mr. Kazuya Fujiwara (MHIR, Japan)
14:45-15:00 Decarbonizing AFOLU Sector toward Low Carbon Society in Indonesia (PDF)
Prof. Rizaldi Boer and Dr. Lukytawati Anggraeni (IPB, Indonesia)
15:00-15:15 Indonesian Energy Climate Change Research Using AIM: An Update (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Prof. Retno Gumilang Dewi, Prof. Ucok WR Siagian, Mr. Bintang Budi Yuwono, and Mr. Iwan Hendrawan (ITB, Indonesia)
15:15-15:30 Discussion

-Coffee Break-

Session6: JCM (2)
Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan)
16:00-16:15 Thailand’s INDC 2030 and Peak CO2 Scenarios in 2050 (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Prof. Bundit Limmeechokchai, Mr. Puttipong Chunark and Mr. Piti Pita (SIIT, Thailand)
16:15-16:30 Climate change mitigation strategies from energy and AFOLU sectors in Nepal (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Prof. Ram Shrestha (AITM, Nepal)
16:30-16:45 Mainstreaming climate change and green technology policy into National Development plans in Malaysia (PDF)
Prof. Chin Siong Ho (UTM, Malaysia)
16:45-17:00 Discussion


DAY 2: November 14, 2015(Saturday)

Session7: Special lectures on Integrated Assessment Model in the Future
Chairperson: Prof. Koji Shimada (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan)
09:00-09:30 AIM approach on regional low carbon development in Asian region, 2015 (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Prof. Yuzuru Matsuoka (Kyoto University, Japan)
09:30-09:50 Offsets: The macro consequences of project-based programs (PDF)
Dr. Jae Edmonds (PNNL, USA)
09:50-10:10 Modelling approach to bridge the climate change and SDGs (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Mikiko Kainuma (NIES, Japan)
10:10-10:20 Discussion

-Coffee break and Photo Session-

Session8: Global Model Analysis
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
10:40-10:55 Economic implications of climate change on human health through undernourishment (PDF)
Dr. Tomoko Hasegawa (NIES, Japan)
10:55-11:10 Climate change impacts on agriculture in 2050 under a range of socioeconomic and emissions scenarios (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Ron Sands (USDA, USA)
11:10-11:25 Assessment of GHGs and SLCPs emissions projections in Asia based on SSP scenarios by using AIM/Enduse[Global] (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)
11:25-11:40 Assessment of INDCs using AIM/CGE [Global] (PDF)
Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori and Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
11:40-12:00 Discussion

-Lunch break-

Session9: China Model Analysis
Chairperson: Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)
13:00-13:15 ERI’s Research Activities in 2014 (PDF)
Prof. Hu Xiulian and Prof. Jiang Kejun (ERI, China)
13:15-13:30 TBD
Prof. Zhao Daiqing and Prof. Liao Cuiping (GIEC, China)
13:30-13:45 Study on Production-based and Consumption-based CO2 Emissions in China (PDF)
Dr. Fu Jiafeng (CRAES, China)
13:45-14:00 Abatement Performance Evaluation of Climate Policies in China -A Study based on an Integrated Assessment Model (PDF)
Dr. Zhu Lei (CAS, China)
14:00-14:20 Discussion

-Coffee break-

Session10: Asian Model Analysis
Chairperson: Dr. Yuko Kanamori (NIES, Japan)
14:40-14:55 Integrated Assessment Modelling Activities in India in 2014-15 (PDF)
Prof. P. R. Shukla (IIM, India) and Dr. Shivika Mittal (NIES, Japan)
14:55-15:10 Technology Options for Emission Mitigation in Indian Residential and Transport Sectors (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Prof. Manmohan Kapshe (MANIT, India)
15:10-15:25 Future GHG and Air-pollutant emission range consistent with the RCP and SSP in Korea (PDF)
Dr. Chan Park (KRIHS, Korea), Prof. DongKun Lee, Mr. Jin Han Park, Ms. Mi Jin Lee, Prof. Tae Yong Jung, Mr. Yongwon Mo (SNU, Korea) and Prof. Jung-Hun Woo (Konkuk University, Korea)
15:25-15:40 Recent Progress of Air Pollution Modelling for co-benefit estimation (PDF)
Prof. Gakuji Kurata (Kyoto Univ., Japan)
15:40-16:00 Discussion

-Coffee break-

Session11: Japan Model Analysis
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
16:20-16:35 Energy consumption in Japan’s household sector (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Yuko Kanamori (NIES, Japan)
16:35-16:50 A new framework of LCS scenario development with coupled macro, spatial, and technology models in Tokyo metropolitan region (PDF)
Dr. Kei Gomi (NIES, Japan)
16:50-17:05 Assessment of Japan's INDC using AIM/Enduse [Japan] (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】
Dr. Ken Oshiro (MHIR, Japan)
17:05-17:20 Discussion
Session12: Closing Session
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
17:20-17:30 Closing address
Dr. Mikiko Kainuma (NIES, Japan)


DAY 3: November 15, 2015(Sunday)


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