第21回AIM国際ワークショップ
開催概要
- 日付：
- 2015年11月13-15日
- 場所：
- 国立環境研究所 大山記念ホール
- 資料：
- 議事日程（PDF/36KB）
写真
第21回AIM国際ワークショップ
若手研究者ポスター発表賞
- 1位
- Ms. Yang Xie (NIES, Japan)
Economic impacts from PM2.5 pollution-related health effects in China: A provincial-level analysis (PDF) - 2位
- Mr. Bintang Budi Yuwono (ITB, Indonesia)
CGE model for Indonesia INDC and low carbon development scenarios
日程詳細
1日目：2015年11月13日(金)
| Session1: Opening Session Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 09:00-09:10 | Welcome address Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan) |
| 09:10-09:30 | Overall activity in FY2014-2015 and future
research plan (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan) |
| Session2: Impact and Adaptation Studies (1) Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 09:30-09:40 | Introduction to the session and
recent activities of AIM/Impact [Japan] (PDF) Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan) |
| 09:40-09:55 | Climate Change Impact Assessment Considering
Uncertainties and Integrated Modeling: Recent Research Progress in Republic of Korea (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Prof. Dong Kun Lee and Mr. Sun Yong Sung (SNU, Korea) and Dr. Hui Chul Jung (KEI, Korea) |
| 09:55-10:10 | Predicting distributions of coniferous forest and
Japanese pine sawyer beetle (Monochamus alternatus Hope) to support climate change adaptation policy
(PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Jaeuk Kim (KEI, Korea) |
-Coffee Break-
| Session3: Impact and Adaptation Studies (2) Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 10:25-10:40 | High instability of Wheat
Production on global food markets in the 2000s (PDF) Prof. Yuji Masutomi (Ibaraki Univ., Japan) |
| 10:40-10:55 | Adaptation pathways to maintain global wheat
production through the 21st century (PDF) 【Summary
(PDF)】 Dr. Akemi Tanaka (NIES, Japan) |
| 10:55-11:10 | ICA-RUS's risk management strategies
(PDF) Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan) |
| 11:10-11:25 | Impact/adaptation research activities in Japan
(PDF) Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan) |
| 11:25-11:40 | Discussion |
-Lunch Break-
| Session4: Poster Session | ||
| 13:00-13:20 | Welcome Address by Prof. Akimasa Sumi, President of NIES | |
| 12:30-14:00 |
1
|
Thailand’s emission reduction potential under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway by
AIM/CGE Mr. Puttipong Chunark and Mr. Piti Pita (SIIT, Thailand) |
|
2
|
CGE model for Indonesia INDC and low carbon development scenarios Mr. Bintang Budi Yuwono (ITB, Indonesia) |
|
|
3
|
Indonesia INDC modeling using AIM/Enduse model Mr. Iwan Hendrawan (ITB, Indonesia) |
|
|
4
|
Impact development of renewable energy to GHG reduction, agriculture, production change
mitigation in Indonesia Dr. Lukytawati Anggraeni (IPB, Indonesia) |
|
|
5
|
Evaluation of China’s INDC Target: An Application of AIM/CGE Model Dr. YihuaWu (ITRI, Taian) |
|
|
6
|
The Evaluation of Power Supply Change in Taiwan Dr. Yihua Wu (ITRI, Taian) |
|
|
7
|
Economic consequences of climate-induces changes in the
energy demand for heating and cooling (PDF) Dr. Chan Park (KRIHS, Korea), Dr. Tomoko Hasegawa, Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori, Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi, Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka and Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
8
|
Identifying the Candidate Protected Area for Adapting to Climate Change 【Summary (PDF)】 Mr. Yongwon Mo, Prof. Dong Kun Lee (SNU, Korea), Dr. Chan Park (KRIHS, Korea), Dr. Sung-Ho Kil (Texas A&M, USA), Mr. Sunyong Sung and Mr. Jin Han Park (SNU, Korea) |
|
|
9
|
Evaluating Landslide Hazard Areas Considering Uncertainty of Spatial Distribution Models
【Summary (PDF)】 Mr. Ho Gul Kim, Prof. Dong Kun Lee (SNU, Korea), Dr. Chan Park (KRIHS, Korea), Ms. Yoonjung Ahn (KEI, Korea), Dr. Sung-Ho Kil (Texas A&M, USA), Mr. Sunyong Sung. Mr. Jin Han Park. Yongwon Mo (SNU, Korea) |
|
|
10
|
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Industry Sector 【Summary (PDF)】 Ms. Eun Joo Yoon, Ms. Ji Eun Ryu, Ms. Mi Jin Lee, Mr. Ho Gul Kim, Mr. Jin Han Park and Prof. Dong Kun Lee (SNU, Korea) |
|
|
11
|
GHG and air pollution emissions in Korea, 2010-2100 - Focused on Industrial Sector 【Summary (PDF)】 Mr. Jin Han Park, Ms. Mi Jin Lee, Prof. Dong Kun Lee and Mr. Yongwon Mo (SNU, Korea) |
|
|
12
|
Achieving carbon emission peak by 2030: the key options and economic impacts 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Hancheng Dai (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
13
|
Energy service demand projections and CO2 mitigation potentials in rural households in 31
Chinese provinces Dr. Rui Xing (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
14
|
Bridging greenhouse gas emissions and renewable energy deployment target: comparative
assessment of China and India Dr. Shivika Mittal (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
15
|
Low carbon scenarios for cities in Vietnam -A case of Ho Chi Minh City【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Tran Thanh Tu (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
16
|
Is INDC justified from the perspective of generation equity? Comparative assessment with
RCP2.6 Dr. Jingyu Liu (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
17
|
Analysis of optimal locations for power stations and their impact on industrial symbiosis
planning under transition toward low-carbon power sector in Japan【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Hiroto Shiraki (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
18
|
Uncertainty in long-term forecasting: State space modeling of crude steel production in
Japan 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Keita Honjo (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
19
|
Economic impacts from PM2.5 pollution-related health
effects in China: A provincial-level analysis (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Ms. Yang Xie (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
20
|
Toward the development of a flood forecasting system for cooperation of flood fighting
activities Prof. Takahiro Yamamoto (Nagaoka National College of Technology, Japan) |
|
|
21
|
Comparative Assessment of Climate Change and Mitigation on Hydropower: Model-Based
Analysis Dr. Qian Zhou, Dr. Naota Hanasaki, Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori, Dr. Yoshimitsu Masaki and Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
22
|
Impacts of climate change on global irrigation water requirement and its sources 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Yoshimitsu Masaki, Dr. Naota Hanasaki, Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi and Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
23
|
Papers published in 2015 (including in press) Dr. Naota Hanasaki (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
24
|
The gap between INDC proposals and optimal climate policy: economic impacts and climate
change consequences 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Xuanming Su (NIES, Japan) |
|
|
25
|
Assessment of linearity of climate-change impacts to global mean temperature 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Akemi Tanaka (NIES, Japan) |
|
-Coffee Break-
| Session5: JCM (1) Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 14:30-14:45 | Overall activity of JCM (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Mr. Go Hibino and Mr. Kazuya Fujiwara (MHIR, Japan) |
| 14:45-15:00 | Decarbonizing AFOLU Sector toward Low Carbon
Society in Indonesia (PDF) Prof. Rizaldi Boer and Dr. Lukytawati Anggraeni (IPB, Indonesia) |
| 15:00-15:15 | Indonesian Energy Climate Change Research Using
AIM: An Update (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Prof. Retno Gumilang Dewi, Prof. Ucok WR Siagian, Mr. Bintang Budi Yuwono, and Mr. Iwan Hendrawan (ITB, Indonesia) |
| 15:15-15:30 | Discussion |
-Coffee Break-
| Session6: JCM (2) Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 16:00-16:15 | Thailand’s INDC 2030 and Peak CO2
Scenarios in 2050 (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Prof. Bundit Limmeechokchai, Mr. Puttipong Chunark and Mr. Piti Pita (SIIT, Thailand) |
| 16:15-16:30 | Climate change mitigation strategies from energy
and AFOLU sectors in Nepal (PDF) 【Summary
(PDF)】 Prof. Ram Shrestha (AITM, Nepal) |
| 16:30-16:45 | Mainstreaming climate change and green technology
policy into National Development plans in Malaysia (PDF) Prof. Chin Siong Ho (UTM, Malaysia) |
| 16:45-17:00 | Discussion |
-Reception-
2日目：2015年11月14日(土)
| Session7: Special lectures on Integrated Assessment Model in the
Future Chairperson: Prof. Koji Shimada (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan) |
|
| 09:00-09:30 | AIM approach on regional low
carbon development in Asian region, 2015 (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Prof. Yuzuru Matsuoka (Kyoto University, Japan) |
| 09:30-09:50 | Offsets: The macro consequences of
project-based programs (PDF) Dr. Jae Edmonds (PNNL, USA) |
| 09:50-10:10 | Modelling approach to bridge the climate change
and SDGs (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Mikiko Kainuma (NIES, Japan) |
| 10:10-10:20 | Discussion |
-Coffee break and Photo Session-
| Session8: Global Model Analysis Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 10:40-10:55 | Economic implications of climate
change on human health through undernourishment (PDF) Dr. Tomoko Hasegawa (NIES, Japan) |
| 10:55-11:10 | Climate change impacts on agriculture in 2050
under a range of socioeconomic and emissions scenarios (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Ron Sands (USDA, USA) |
| 11:10-11:25 | Assessment of GHGs and SLCPs emissions
projections in Asia based on SSP scenarios by using AIM/Enduse[Global] (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan) |
| 11:25-11:40 | Assessment of INDCs using AIM/CGE [Global]
(PDF) Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori and Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan) |
| 11:40-12:00 | Discussion |
-Lunch break-
| Session9: China Model Analysis Chairperson: Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 13:00-13:15 | ERI’s Research Activities in 2014
(PDF) Prof. Hu Xiulian and Prof. Jiang Kejun (ERI, China) |
| 13:15-13:30 | TBD Prof. Zhao Daiqing and Prof. Liao Cuiping (GIEC, China) |
| 13:30-13:45 | Study on Production-based and Consumption-based CO2
Emissions in China (PDF) Dr. Fu Jiafeng (CRAES, China) |
| 13:45-14:00 | Abatement Performance Evaluation of Climate
Policies in China -A Study based on an Integrated Assessment Model (PDF) Dr. Zhu Lei (CAS, China) |
| 14:00-14:20 | Discussion |
-Coffee break-
| Session10: Asian Model Analysis Chairperson: Dr. Yuko Kanamori (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 14:40-14:55 | Integrated Assessment Modelling
Activities in India in 2014-15 (PDF) Prof. P. R. Shukla (IIM, India) and Dr. Shivika Mittal (NIES, Japan) |
| 14:55-15:10 | Technology Options for Emission Mitigation in
Indian Residential and Transport Sectors (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Prof. Manmohan Kapshe (MANIT, India) |
| 15:10-15:25 | Future GHG and Air-pollutant emission range
consistent with the RCP and SSP in Korea (PDF) Dr. Chan Park (KRIHS, Korea), Prof. DongKun Lee, Mr. Jin Han Park, Ms. Mi Jin Lee, Prof. Tae Yong Jung, Mr. Yongwon Mo (SNU, Korea) and Prof. Jung-Hun Woo (Konkuk University, Korea) |
| 15:25-15:40 | Recent Progress of Air Pollution Modelling for
co-benefit estimation (PDF) Prof. Gakuji Kurata (Kyoto Univ., Japan) |
| 15:40-16:00 | Discussion |
-Coffee break-
| Session11: Japan Model Analysis Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 16:20-16:35 | Energy consumption in Japan’s
household sector (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Yuko Kanamori (NIES, Japan) |
| 16:35-16:50 | A new framework of LCS scenario development with
coupled macro, spatial, and technology models in Tokyo metropolitan region (PDF) Dr. Kei Gomi (NIES, Japan) |
| 16:50-17:05 | Assessment of Japan's INDC using AIM/Enduse
[Japan] (PDF) 【Summary (PDF)】 Dr. Ken Oshiro (MHIR, Japan) |
| 17:05-17:20 | Discussion |
| Session12: Closing Session Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan) |
|
| 17:20-17:30 | Closing address Dr. Mikiko Kainuma (NIES, Japan) |
-Dinner-
3日目：2015年11月15日(日)
Meeting
