The 22nd AIM International Workshop


December 9 - 11, 2016
At Ohyama Memorial Hall, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 305-8506, Tsukuba, Japan
Agenda (PDF/23KB)


The 22nd AIM International Workshop group photo1 The 22nd AIM International Workshop group photo2

The 22nd AIM International Workshop
Young Researcher Poster Session Award

Health and economic impact of ozone pollution in China (PDF)
Ms. Yang Xie (Tokyo Tech, Japan)
Emission pathways to achieve 2.0 and 1.5 ℃ climate targets
Dr. Xuanming Su (NIES, Japan)


DAY 1: December 9, 2016(Friday)

Session1: Opening Session
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
09:00-09:20 Welcome address and overall activities in FY2015-2016 and future research plan (PDF)
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
Session2: Implementation of Paris Agreement (1)
Chairperson: Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
09:20-09:35 IPCC AR6 Cycle: Status and Milestones (with focus on IPCC WGIII) (PDF)
Prof. P. R. Shukla (IIM, India)
09:35-09:50 The Climate Consequences of Paris (PDF)
Dr. Jae Edmonds (PNNL, USA)
09:50-10:10 Implications of the Paris agreement in the context of long, med and short-term policies AIM/CGE related model activity (PDF)
Dr. Shinichiro Fujimori (NIES, Japan)
10:10-10:25 Discussion

-Coffee Break-

Session3: Roadmap toward low carbon Asia (1)
Chairperson: Mr. Tomoki Ehara (E-konzal, Japan)
10:50-11:05 Roadmap toward Low Carbon Asia: Thailand’s NDCs Roadmap (PDF)
Prof. Bundit Limmeechokchai (Thammasat University, Thailand)
11:05-11:20 Deep Decarbonizing AFOLU Sector in Indonesia (PDF)
Prof. Rizaldi Boer (IPB, Indonesia)
Low-carbon energy development in Indonesia in alignment with its INDC by 2030 (PDF)
Prof. Retno Gumilang Dewi,and Prof. Ucok Welo Risma Siagian (ITB, Indonesia)
11:20-11:35 Promoting low carbon by decarbonisation urban development in Malaysia. S2A approach (PDF)
Prof. Chin Siong Ho (UTM, Malaysia)
11:35-11:50 Low carbon development with INDC targets and carbon tax in selected sectors of Nepal (PDF)
Prof. Ram Manohar Shrestha (AITM, Nepal)
11:50-12:10 Discussion

-Photo Session-
-Lunch Break-

Session4: Poster Session
The health benefits of developing renewable energy in China towards 2030 (PDF)
Dr. Hancheng Dai (NIES, Japan)
Evaluating energy efficiency in China’s service sector: Current situation and future scenario
Dr. Rui Xing (NIES, Japan)
Emission pathways to achieve 2.0 and 1.5 ℃ climate targets
Dr. Xuanming Su (NIES, Japan)
Evaluation of the reduction of electricity demand in Japan after the 2011 Tohoku earthquake (PDF)
Dr. Keita Honjo (NIES, Japan)
Socio-economic drivers in SSP2 and future challenges of 1.5 degree target (PDF)
Dr. Jingyu Liu (NIES, Japan)
How do transport behavior and policy affect mitigation potential and cost? A simulation by AIM/Transport model
Dr. Runsen Zhang (NIES, Japan)
Estimation of the economic cost of heatstroke prevention under various climatic/socioeconomic conditions
Dr. Junya Takakura (NIES, Japan)
An analysis on hypothetical shocks representing cooling water shortage using a commutable general equilibrium model
Dr. Qian Zhou (NIES, Japan)
Estimate of regional impacts of adaptation policies and sand erosion damage by climate change (PDF)
Dr. Hiroshi Sao (NIES, Japan)
Socio-economic changes of stabilization scenarios considering global temperatures targets in the long term
Dr. Diego Silva (JAMSTEC, Japan)
Estimating the hourly electricity profile of Japanese households for improving the accuracy of integrated assessment model
Dr. Hiroto Shiraki (The University of Shiga Prefecture, Japan)
Potential impacts of climate change on agriculture and fisheries in Aomori Prefecture -- First-year results of a research project at Hirosaki University
Dr. Yoshimitsu Masaki and Prof. Yukihiro Nojiri (Hirosaki University, Japan)
Health and economic impact of ozone pollution in China (PDF)
Ms. Yang Xie (Tokyo Tech, Japan)
Research proposal: An integrated assessment of circular economy policies for energy intensive industries in China
Mr. Gen Li (TokyoTech, Japan)
Impact of mitigation action in Indonesia towards 2030
Ms. Marissa Malahayati (TokyoTech, Japan)
Indonesia NDC Assessment of impacts in climate change mitigation policy
Mr. Bintang Budi Yuwono (ITB, Indonesia)
Introduction to the project “Integrated assessment of economic impacts of climate change” in China
Dr. Biying Yu (BIT, China)

-Coffee Break-

Session5: Roadmap toward low carbon Asia (2)
Chairperson: Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)
14:30-14:45 Moving toward a transition future in China: Integrated assessment on the low carbon future (PDF)
Prof. Xiulian Hu and Prof. Kejun Jiang (Energy Research Institute, China)
14:45-15:00 Marginal abatement cost of CO2 mitigation options for the residential sector in Korea (PDF)
Prof. Chan Park (University of Seoul, Korea) and Prof. Tae Yong Jung (Yonsei University, Korea)
15:00-15:15 Realizing the INDC: The role of renewable energies in Vietnam (PDF)
Dr. Thanh Tu Tran (Vietnam National University, Vietnam)
15:15-15:30 The efforts of Taiwan to achieve INDC target: An investigation on its regional carbon trading system (PDF)
Dr. Yi-Hua Wu (ITRI, Taiwan)
15:30-15:50 Discussion

-Coffee Break-

Session6: New regional scenario development in Asia
Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan)
16:10-16:25 Low carbon development scenarios in cities of Vietnam -cases of Da Nang and Hai Phong cities (PDF)
Dr. Tung Lam Nguyen (ISPONRE, Vietnam) and Dr. Thai Hoa Nguyen (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan)
16:25-16:40 Smart city initiative in India: Addressing climate change concerns (PDF)
Prof. Manmohan Kapshe (Maulana Azad National Institute of Technology, India) and Prof. Aashish Deshpande (National Institute of Technical Teachers' Training and Research, India)
16:40-16:55 Impacts of carbon reduction policy on air pollutant emissions in Guangdong province of China (PDF)
Prof. Daiqing Zhao and Dr. Peng Wang (GIEC, CAS, China)
16:55-17:10 Integrated space-energy modeling for sustainable development in Fukushima (PDF)
Dr. Kei Gomi (NIES, Japan)
17:10-17:30 Discussion
Session 7: Implementation of Paris Agreement (2)
Chairperson: Dr. Junichi Fujino (NIES, Japan)
17:30-17:45 Technology optimism is not enough: Some considerations on the difficulty of triggering low-carbon transition in France (Skype) (PDF)
Dr. Julien Lefevre (CIRED, France)


DAY 2: December 10, 2016(Saturday)

Session 8: Climate change and SLCP scenarios
Chairperson: Prof. Koji Shimada (Ritsumeikan Univ., Japan)
09:00-09:15 Cobenefits and tradeoffs of reducing GHGs, SLPCs, Air Pollutants emissions when exploring the 2 degree target scenarios (PDF)
Dr. Tatsuya Hanaoka (NIES, Japan)
09:15-09:30 SLCP emission from residential sector and its impact in Asia (PDF)
Prof. Gakuji Kurata (Kyoto University, Japan)
09:30-09:45 Influence of future climate and emissions on air quality in Northeast Asia: Recent and ongoing studies of Korea (PDF)
Dr. Hyeon-Kook Kim and Dr. Sung-Chul Hong (NIER, Korea)
09:45-10:00 Study on CH4 emission and reduction potential in waste treatment of China (PDF)
Dr. Zhanyun Ma (CRAES, China)
10:00-10:20 Discussion

-Coffee break-

Session 9: Progress of AIM modeling
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
10:40-10:55 Modelling for low carbon lifestyle in Japan (PDF)
Dr. Yuko Kanamori (NIES, Japan)
10:55-11:10 Development of multi-layered regional integrated modeling system (PDF)
Dr. Shuichi Ashina (NIES, Japan)
11:10-11:25 Assessment of long-term low-emission pathways in Japan using AIM/Enduse [Japan] (PDF)
Dr. Ken Oshiro (MHIR, Japan)
11:25-11:40 Discussion
Session 10: Toward the 2/1.5 degree target
Chairperson: Prof. P. R. Shukla (IIM, India)
11:40-11:50 Introduction
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
1.5 ℃ Long-term Global Goal and Decarbonization of Energy System (PDF)
Prof. P. R. Shukla (IIM, India)
11:50-12:30 Discussion

-Lunch break-

Session 11: New direction toward sustainable development
Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
13:30-13:40 Introduction (PDF)
Dr. Toshihiko Masui (NIES, Japan)
13:40-14:25 Discussion

-Coffee break-

Session 12: Impact study (1): Global
Chairperson: Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
14:40-14:45 Introduction to the impact study sessions (PDF)
Dr. Kiyoshi Takahashi (NIES, Japan)
14:45-15:00 Research activities in 2016: global food, agriculture and land use (PDF)
Dr. Tomoko Hasegawa (NIES, Japan)
15:00-15:15 Climate and biomass impacts on global land use (PDF)
Dr. Ron Sands (USDA, USA)
15:15-15:30 Does linearity hold for climate-change impacts between 2˚C warming and other warming levels?
Dr. Akemi Tanaka (National Agriculture and Food Research Organization, Japan)
15:30-15:45 Intercomparison of regulated river discharge among multiple global hydrological models under multiple forcings (PDF)
Dr. Yoshimitsu Masaki (Hirosaki University, Japan)
15:45-16:05 Discussion

-Coffee break-

Session 13: Impact Study (2): National/Regional
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
16:20-16:35 Climate change impact on Bio-climatic zone in Northeast Asia (PDF)
Prof. Seongwoo Jeon (Korea University, Korea) and Dr. Huicheul Jung (KEI, Korea)
16:35-16:50 Spatial Optimization based on integrated impact of climate change (PDF)
Ms. Eunjoo Yoon (SNU, Korea)
16:50-17:05 Adaptation initiative in Indonesia and impact assessment on agriculture (PDF)
Prof. Yuji Masutomi (Ibaraki University, Japan)
17:05-17:20 Discussion
Session 14: Take a look back on impact studies
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
17:20-17:40 Past, Present and Future of AIM Impact Study (PDF)
Dr. Hideo Harasawa (NIES, Japan)
Session 15: Closing session
Chairperson: Dr. Yasuaki Hijioka (NIES, Japan)
17:40-17:50 Closing address
Dr. Mikiko Kainuma (NIES, Japan)


DAY 3: December 11, 2016(Sunday)


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